Etoile Carouge 1-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 32%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.75/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.54
+65% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
10.4 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.15 xG 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
399 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
25.10.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
27.09.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 5-1 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
1-2
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.33 xG 1.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
373 Passes 346
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy edged past Etoile Carouge 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Stade Ouchy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 51% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 49%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.33 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Etoile Carouge and 2.33 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy?

Etoile Carouge 1-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 40%, draw 29%, Stade Ouchy 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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