Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Ouchy v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Stade Ouchy 1-0 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Stade Ouchy squeezed past Etoile Carouge 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Ouchy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Stade Ouchy had 45% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 55%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.35 to 0.21.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.00 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?
Stade Ouchy 1-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 43%, draw 25%, Etoile Carouge 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.