FC Schaffhausen 2-3 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
0.99/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.08
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
13.0 Crosses 20.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Thun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.52 xG 1.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 366
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
30.08.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 2-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.05.2024 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
09.02.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.11.2023 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
28.07.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2-3
AWAY Thun
1.30 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
266 Passes 210
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun nicked a narrow win over FC Schaffhausen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 55% of the ball to Thun's 45%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.30 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.83 for Thun.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Thun?

FC Schaffhausen 2-3 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 26%, draw 28%, Thun 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Under 2.5
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