Thun 3-1 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.95/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.35
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.8 Crosses 12.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 247
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 2-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.05.2024 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
09.02.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
11.11.2023 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
28.07.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
27.05.2023 Thun Thun 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
3-1
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
3.46 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
301 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Thun vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun beat FC Schaffhausen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Thun had 52% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 48%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 3.46 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thun and 1.00 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Thun vs FC Schaffhausen?

Thun 3-1 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Thun 54%, draw 22%, FC Schaffhausen 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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