Zira 1-0 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.57/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.55
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
04.03.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-2 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
15.12.2024 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
06.10.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
02.03.2024 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
20.12.2023 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
16.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Turan Tovuz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zira and 0.67 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Zira vs Turan Tovuz?

Zira 1-0 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zira 46%, draw 30%, Turan Tovuz 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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