Westerlo 4-2 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 May 2025

Westerlo
4-2 HT 1-1
Dender EH
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Westerlo vs Dender EH Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.86
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
17%
5.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.77
X/2
8%
9.68
X/X
12%
6.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.1
2/2
8%
6.39
2/X
6%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 12% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v Dender EH — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.05/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.01
+29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
20.4 Crosses 21.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Westerlo vs Dender EH Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dender EH
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
08.12.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.11.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
21.03.2009 Westerlo Westerlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
23.02.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL

Westerlo 4-2 Dender EH — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
4-2
AWAY Dender EH
3.68 xG 2.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
316 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo saw off Dender EH 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Westerlo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Westerlo had 54% of the ball to Dender EH's 46%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.68 to 2.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dender EH led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 1.17 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Dender EH?

Westerlo 4-2 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 54%, draw 24%, Dender EH 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Westerlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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