Aubagne 1-0 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 May 2025

Aubagne
1-0 HT 1-0
Orleans
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Aubagne vs Orleans Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 35% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.0
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
16%
6.48
X/2
12%
4.89
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
22%
3.26
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.1pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aubagne v Orleans — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.90/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.02
+56% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Aubagne vs Orleans Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Orleans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.01.2025 Orleans Orleans 2-1 HT 1-0 Aubagne Aubagne FR3
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne nicked a narrow win over Orleans 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Aubagne made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Orleans?

Aubagne 1-0 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 38%, draw 22%, Orleans 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orleans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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