Boulogne 2-3 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 36% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.66
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
23%
4.34
X/2
7%
7.74
X/X
17%
4.51
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
11%
6.38
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.26/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.15
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sochaux
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
10.01.2025 Sochaux Sochaux 1-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
24.04.2010 Sochaux Sochaux 0-3 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR1
13.01.2010 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
2-3
AWAY Sochaux
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux edged past Boulogne 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Boulogne at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boulogne had 51% of the ball to Sochaux's 49%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boulogne had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boulogne and 0.33 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Sochaux?

Boulogne 2-3 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 44%, draw 30%, Sochaux 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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