Chateauroux 3-3 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.64
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
10%
7.19
X/2
15%
4.6
X/X
15%
4.51
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.86
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.47/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.80
+28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dijon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
10.01.2025 Dijon Dijon 4-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
09.02.2024 Dijon Dijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
01.09.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-0 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
08.05.2015 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
19.12.2014 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR2
06.05.2014 Dijon Dijon 2-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
3-3
AWAY Dijon
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux and Dijon shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dijon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chateauroux had 40% of the ball to Dijon's 60%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 1.33 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Dijon?

Chateauroux 3-3 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 28%, draw 28%, Dijon 44%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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