Le Mans FC vs Rouen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Le Mans FC v Rouen — Team-Based Signals
Le Mans FC vs Rouen Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Rouen
FR3
Le Mans FC 2-2 Rouen — Actual Match Statistics
Le Mans FC and Rouen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Le Mans FC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Le Mans FC had 57% of the ball to Rouen's 43%, shots finished 7-9.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.00 for Rouen.
What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Rouen?
Le Mans FC 2-2 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Rouen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 56%, draw 24%, Rouen 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.