Esteghlal Khuzestan 5-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.44
Over 2.5
28%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
13%
6.25
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.4pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
72%
Under 2.5
66%
+6.2pp
28%
Over 2.5
34%
-6.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.1pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.35/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.96
+1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.01.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.12.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
15.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan cruised past Aluminium Arak 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 37% / 24% — and on the day Esteghlal Khuzestan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 5-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 39%, draw 37%, Aluminium Arak 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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