Yunnan Yukun 3-3 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.45
1/2
7%
23.1
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
10%
6.06
X/2
13%
6.07
X/X
13%
5.75
2/1
9%
23.1
2/2
18%
3.46
2/X
5%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 40%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.61/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.96
+36% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
13.4 Crosses 13.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.88 xG 1.75
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
145 Passes 468
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 7-0 HT 3-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNK
30.06.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
22.02.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 0-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
3-3
AWAY Beijing Guoan
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
326 Passes 362
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 48% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 52%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 3.67 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?

Yunnan Yukun 3-3 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 38%, draw 24%, Beijing Guoan 38%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
2 May 2026
14:00 Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port Analysis →
14:35 Zhejiang G. FC vs Shenzhen FC Analysis →