Falkirk 1-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.09
1/2
8%
24.8
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
9%
6.23
X/2
12%
5.4
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
21%
3.28
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.81/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.16
+45% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +89%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
244 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
25.5 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Motherwell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 0.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
212 Passes 460
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2026 Motherwell Motherwell 2-3 HT 1-2 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
03.12.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
18.10.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
03.04.2010 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
27.01.2010 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.10.2009 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
1-0
AWAY Motherwell
2.42 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
347 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Falkirk vs Motherwell
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Falkirk edged past Motherwell 1-0 in the Scotland - Premiership on 2 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Falkirk had 49% of the ball to Motherwell's 51%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.42 to 1.33.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Falkirk and 0.67 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Motherwell?

Falkirk 1-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 34%, draw 25%, Motherwell 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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