Motherwell 2-3 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 34% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.64
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.63
X/2
7%
7.58
X/X
14%
4.69
2/1
9%
24.35
2/2
12%
5.69
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +38%
1.51/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.99
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +132%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.1 Crosses 21.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Falkirk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.74 xG 0.96
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
474 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
18.10.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
03.04.2010 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
27.01.2010 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.10.2009 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
02.05.2009 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-3
AWAY Falkirk
1.46 xG 2.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
433 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Motherwell vs Falkirk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Falkirk edged past Motherwell 3-2 away from home in the Scotland - Premiership on 4 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Motherwell had 61% of the ball to Falkirk's 39%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.46 to 2.06.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Motherwell and 0.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Falkirk?

Motherwell 2-3 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 48%, draw 28%, Falkirk 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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