Hibernian 3-0 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
14%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.96
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
18%
4.05
X/2
6%
10.8
X/X
8%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
6%
8.76
2/X
6%
16.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.93/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.89
+11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
27.4 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.80 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
305 Passes 213
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2026 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-3 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
10.08.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 2-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
15.03.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
29.12.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
01.09.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.01.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-0
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.30 xG 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
384 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian cruised past Kilmarnock 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Hibernian had 52% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 48%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 2.30 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hibernian and 1.17 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Hibernian 3-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 62%, draw 22%, Kilmarnock 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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