St. Mirren 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 33% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
8%
7.42
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
6%
24.8
2/2
13%
5.6
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.19/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.65
-36% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
25.4 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
200 Passes 399
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
18.10.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
03.05.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
25.01.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
23.11.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
11.08.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
0.90 xG 0.53
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 5
382 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St. Mirren beat Aberdeen 2-0 in the Scotland - Premiership on 4 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 57% of the ball to Aberdeen's 43%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.53.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Mirren and 1.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?

St. Mirren 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 44%, draw 28%, Aberdeen 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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