St. Mirren 0-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 35% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.42
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.09
X/2
16%
6.04
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.44
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -23%
1.33/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.77
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 69%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
26.4 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Aberdeen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.74 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
202 Passes 358
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
25.01.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
23.11.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
11.08.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
02.03.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-1
AWAY Aberdeen
0.48 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
332 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aberdeen edged past St. Mirren 1-0 away from home in the Scotland - Premiership on 18 Oct 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 49% of the ball to Aberdeen's 51%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.48 to 1.83.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Mirren and 0.83 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?

St. Mirren 0-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 38%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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