Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 0-3 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts swept aside Kilmarnock 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 41% of the ball to Hearts's 59%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.43 to 2.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.00 for Hearts.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Kilmarnock 0-3 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 28%, draw 22%, Hearts 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.