Motherwell 1-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.43
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
8%
8.3
X/X
8%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.8
2/2
11%
6.02
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.57/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.27
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.8 Crosses 24.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Falkirk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
03.04.2010 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
27.01.2010 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.10.2009 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
02.05.2009 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
24.01.2009 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
15.11.2008 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
1-2
AWAY Falkirk
1.01 xG 1.35
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
490 Passes 187
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Motherwell vs Falkirk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Falkirk edged past Motherwell 2-1 away from home in the Scotland - Premiership on 18 Oct 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Motherwell had 67% of the ball to Falkirk's 33%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.01 to 1.35.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Motherwell and 0.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Falkirk?

Motherwell 1-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 54%, draw 22%, Falkirk 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motherwell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motherwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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