Hibernian 4-0 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.95
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
14%
4.01
X/2
8%
11.1
X/X
9%
5.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.8
2/2
10%
9.03
2/X
6%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.81/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.68
+5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
26.7 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Livingston
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.01 xG 1.18
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 Passes 180
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Livingston Livingston 0-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKLK
19.05.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
26.08.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-3 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
04.03.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-4 HT 1-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
24.12.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 4-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
4-0
AWAY Livingston
2.80 xG 0.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 10
341 Passes 371
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Hibernian vs Livingston
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hibernian ran out comfortable winners over Livingston 4-0 in the Scotland - Premiership on 18 Oct 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Hibernian had 47% of the ball to Livingston's 53%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.80 to 0.43.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hibernian and 0.83 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Livingston?

Hibernian 4-0 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 56%, draw 23%, Livingston 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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