Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Hearts
İKP
Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts edged past Kilmarnock 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Hearts made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 48% of the ball to Hearts's 52%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.07 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.00 for Hearts.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hearts?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 35%, draw 27%, Hearts 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.