St. Johnstone 0-2 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.07
1/2
10%
23.75
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
9%
7.17
X/2
15%
4.93
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
16%
2.85
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.97/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.43
-24% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -87% / -41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
19.7 Crosses 21.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.53 xG 1.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 195
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.01.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 0-3 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.10.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
30.03.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.09.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
0-2
AWAY Dundee FC
0.53 xG 1.48
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
339 Passes 150
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC got the better of St. Johnstone 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundee FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 64% of the ball to Dundee FC's 36%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.53 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.83 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC?

St. Johnstone 0-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 33%, draw 25%, Dundee FC 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
18 May 2025
17:00 Ross County vs Motherwell Analysis →
17:00 Kilmarnock vs Hearts Analysis →