Ross County 1-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.48/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.25
+23% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 67%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.0 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.10 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
233 Passes 307
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
23.11.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
03.08.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
11.05.2024 Ross County Ross County 1-5 HT 1-2 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
06.02.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 5-0 HT 3-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.12.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
1-1
AWAY Motherwell
1.09 xG 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
167 Passes 333
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County and Motherwell couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ross County had 37% of the ball to Motherwell's 63%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.09 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ross County and 1.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Motherwell?

Ross County 1-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ross County 43%, draw 26%, Motherwell 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ross County), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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