Aberdeen vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aberdeen 3-3 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen and St. Mirren couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aberdeen had 67% of the ball to St. Mirren's 33%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.07 to 1.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberdeen and 1.50 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?
Aberdeen 3-3 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 45%, draw 29%, St. Mirren 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberdeen), Under 2.5 went the other way.