Hearts vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hearts at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hearts had 65% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 35%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.19 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hearts and 0.83 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Hearts vs Kilmarnock?
Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Hearts 68%, draw 19%, Kilmarnock 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5 went the other way.