Celtic 1-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
89%
1.16
Draw
7%
7.13
Away
4%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.96
Over 2.5
71%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.01
2-3 Goals
33%
2.22
4-5 Goals
33%
2.42
6+ Goals
19%
4.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
60%
1.24
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
32.0
X/1
17%
3.94
X/2
1%
35.0
X/X
3%
12.5
2/1
12%
23.1
2/2
1%
31.0
2/X
2%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
89%
Home Win
82%
+7.4pp
7%
Draw
11%
-4.0pp
3%
Away Win
7%
-3.3pp
29%
Under 2.5
30%
-1.0pp
71%
Over 2.5
70%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.77/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.47
+19% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -10%
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
564 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 68%
43.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
28.5 Crosses 12.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.93 xG 0.61
79% Ball Possession 21%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
657 Passes 112
90% Pass Accuracy 57%
42 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
05.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
14.01.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
30.10.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
28.04.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
28.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 7-1 HT 6-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
1-0
AWAY Dundee FC
2.07 xG 0.21
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
635 Passes 212
92% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic nicked a narrow win over Dundee FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 89%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (71%) missed.

On the day, Celtic had 71% of the ball to Dundee FC's 29%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.07 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celtic's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Celtic and 1.17 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Dundee FC?

Celtic 1-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 89%, with the full match-result split Celtic 89%, draw 7%, Dundee FC 3%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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