Hibernian 2-2 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
13.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.91
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
10%
16.35
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
9%
11.55
X/X
9%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.05
2/2
5%
9.92
2/X
7%
18.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.05 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.74/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.64
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 67%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
26.4 Crosses 18.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 223
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
29.12.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
01.09.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.01.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
11.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
16.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and Kilmarnock shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hibernian at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hibernian and 1.00 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Hibernian 2-2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 56%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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