Dundee FC 1-0 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.19
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
13%
5.17
X/2
8%
6.54
X/X
12%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.61
2/X
11%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.19/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.36
+10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.2 Crosses 23.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
188 Passes 273
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2026 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
29.11.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 2-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
27.09.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
05.04.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
29.12.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
31.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC nicked a narrow win over St. Mirren 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dundee FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundee FC and 0.83 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Dundee FC 1-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 41%, draw 28%, St. Mirren 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
2 May 2026
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