Dundee FC 3-1 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.11
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
6%
6.85
X/2
18%
4.94
X/X
9%
4.44
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
25%
3.08
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.5pp
51%
Away Win
43%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.29/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.98
+24% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.0 Crosses 29.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
214 Passes 236
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
05.04.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
29.12.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
31.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
04.05.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
07.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
3-1
AWAY St. Mirren
0.68 xG 1.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 11
194 Passes 366
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 33
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC saw off St. Mirren 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 38% of the ball to St. Mirren's 62%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.68 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Mirren.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee FC and 1.50 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Dundee FC 3-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 28%, draw 21%, St. Mirren 51%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✗ Under 2.5
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