Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
9%
5.28
X/2
12%
6.06
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
21%
4.33
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.60/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
23.5 Crosses 22.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dundee United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 284
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 36
21 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 0-2 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
17.08.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
01.02.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
07.12.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
28.09.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-3 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.05.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 0-3 HT 0-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
1-1
AWAY Dundee United
1.48 xG 1.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
198 Passes 262
61% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock and Dundee United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 46% of the ball to Dundee United's 54%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.48 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.83 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?

Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 35%, draw 26%, Dundee United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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