Dundee FC 2-0 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Apr 2025

Dundee FC
2-0 HT 1-0
St. Mirren
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.98
X/2
11%
5.58
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.62
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee FC v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.42/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.12
+24% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.9 Crosses 25.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
213 Passes 218
63% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
31.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
04.05.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
07.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
12.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP

Dundee FC 2-0 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
2-0
AWAY St. Mirren
0.65 xG 2.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
138 Passes 262
57% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 43
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC saw off St. Mirren 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dundee FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee FC had 38% of the ball to St. Mirren's 62%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.65 to 2.25 — on chances, St. Mirren could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundee FC and 1.67 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Dundee FC 2-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 37%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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