Kilmarnock 2-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.39
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
20%
4.29
X/2
8%
8.89
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
14%
7.28
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.27/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.32
-20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 64%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
25.9 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
278 Passes 189
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
20.12.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.08.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKLK
03.02.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
04.11.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
26.08.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
2-0
AWAY Motherwell
1.22 xG 0.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
270 Passes 200
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock got the better of Motherwell 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 54% of the ball to Motherwell's 46%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.22 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?

Kilmarnock 2-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 47%, draw 26%, Motherwell 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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