Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
4.03
6+ Goals
11%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.79
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
4%
14.35
X/1
17%
7.47
X/2
15%
4.68
X/X
14%
4.45
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
12%
2.82
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-10.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.07/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.91
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.2 Crosses 22.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
230 Passes 331
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.01.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-2 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
31.08.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
19.05.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-2 HT 1-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.03.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
02.01.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-3 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
27.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
0-1
AWAY Aberdeen
1.11 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
175 Passes 184
61% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen edged past Ross County 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aberdeen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ross County had 53% of the ball to Aberdeen's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.11 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ross County and 1.83 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ross County 38%, draw 27%, Aberdeen 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Under 2.5
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