Villarreal 5-1 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.25
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2
7%
8.81
X/X
6%
6.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.7
2/2
9%
6.01
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
53%
+6.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.93/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.28
+32% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.3 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Levante
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.13 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
393 Passes 325
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2026 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
03.08.2022 Villarreal Villarreal 3-1 HT 2-0 Levante Levante HAZ
02.04.2022 Levante Levante 2-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
03.01.2022 Villarreal Villarreal 5-0 HT 3-0 Levante Levante İS1
29.07.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante HAZ
18.04.2021 Levante Levante 1-5 HT 1-2 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
5-1
AWAY Levante
2.36 xG 0.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
475 Passes 415
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal swept aside Levante 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Villarreal had 53% of the ball to Levante's 47%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.36 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Villarreal and 0.67 for Levante.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Levante?

Villarreal 5-1 Levante in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 59%, draw 20%, Levante 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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