Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
3-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
Valencia 0-2 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid got the better of Valencia 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Valencia carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Valencia had 53% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 47%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.02 to 2.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valencia and 2.17 for Atletico Madrid.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
Valencia 0-2 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valencia 56%, draw 22%, Atletico Madrid 22%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.