Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Alaves 2-4 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao got the better of Deportivo Alaves 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Athletic Bilbao found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 50% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 50%, shots finished 7-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.00 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao?
Deportivo Alaves 2-4 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 34%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.