Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves nicked a narrow win over Athletic Bilbao 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Alaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 44% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 56%, shots finished 10-18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.33 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao?
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 30%, draw 31%, Athletic Bilbao 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.