Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves and Athletic Bilbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 52% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 48%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.17 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao?
Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 32%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No went the other way.