Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Dec 2024

Villarreal
1-2 HT 0-1
Real Betis
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Villarreal vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.56
X/2
10%
7.89
X/X
9%
5.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.55
2/2
13%
5.46
2/X
9%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Villarreal v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.84/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.36
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.5 Crosses 14.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Villarreal vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Betis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
404 Passes 351
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-3 HT 2-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
13.08.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
12.03.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
11.09.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
06.02.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
03.10.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
1-2
AWAY Real Betis
2.05 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
462 Passes 271
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 14
41 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis squeezed past Villarreal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Villarreal had 62% of the ball to Real Betis's 38%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.05 to 0.79 — on chances, Villarreal could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villarreal and 1.00 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 46%, draw 24%, Real Betis 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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