Barcelona 0-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Dec 2024

Barcelona
0-1 HT 0-1
Leganes
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Barcelona vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
9.41
2-3 Goals
33%
2.46
4-5 Goals
30%
2.27
6+ Goals
16%
3.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
33.5
X/1
25%
3.76
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
9%
14.25
2/1
7%
20.8
2/2
4%
26.0
2/X
6%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-13.6pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.9pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.29/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.04
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
445 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.5 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Barcelona vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Leganes
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 0.71
74% Ball Possession 26%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
694 Passes 187
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.06.2020 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
30.01.2020 Barcelona Barcelona 5-0 HT 2-0 Leganes Leganes İSPK
23.11.2019 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
20.01.2019 Barcelona Barcelona 3-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
26.09.2018 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
07.04.2018 Barcelona Barcelona 3-1 HT 2-0 Leganes Leganes İS1

Barcelona 0-1 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
0-1
AWAY Leganes
2.63 xG 0.39
80% Ball Possession 20%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
690 Passes 117
89% Pass Accuracy 57%
51 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes nicked a narrow win over Barcelona 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Barcelona at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona had 80% of the ball to Leganes's 20%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.63 to 0.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barcelona.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Barcelona and 0.83 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Leganes?

Barcelona 0-1 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 68%, draw 19%, Leganes 12%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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