Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.68
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
23.0
X/1
16%
3.25
X/2
9%
17.1
X/X
10%
5.72
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
6%
15.8
2/X
5%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.92/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.56
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
18.9 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Getafe
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.57 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
413 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
15.05.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
19.12.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-3 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
04.02.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
15.08.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
12.02.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-3 HT 3-3 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
1-0
AWAY Getafe
1.67 xG 0.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
400 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Atletico Madrid vs Getafe
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Madrid edged past Getafe 1-0 in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15 Dec 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 57% of the ball to Getafe's 43%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.67 to 0.21.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Atletico Madrid and 1.33 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 58%, draw 23%, Getafe 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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