Getafe 0-3 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 May 2024

Getafe
0-3 HT 0-2
Atletico Madrid
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
7.88
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
8%
9.65
X/2
12%
3.87
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.2
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 58%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.22/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.87
-40% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.9 Crosses 15.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.18 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 424
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.12.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-3 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
04.02.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
15.08.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
12.02.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-3 HT 3-3 Getafe Getafe İS1
21.09.2021 Getafe Getafe 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
13.03.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Getafe 0-3 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
0-3
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.62 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 Passes 495
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid cruised past Getafe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Getafe had 45% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 55%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.62 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Getafe and 2.17 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?

Getafe 0-3 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Getafe 32%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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