Sevilla 0-1 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.94
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.46
X/2
9%
6.72
X/X
12%
4.29
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.23
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.39/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
-9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +62%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
28.5 Crosses 20.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cadiz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.14 xG 0.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
486 Passes 205
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 2-2 HT 2-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
01.04.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 0-2 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
21.01.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
06.08.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz HAZ
29.04.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
03.01.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
0-1
AWAY Cadiz
1.30 xG 2.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
396 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 30
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz edged past Sevilla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sevilla had 56% of the ball to Cadiz's 44%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.30 to 2.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cadiz's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sevilla and 0.50 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Cadiz?

Sevilla 0-1 Cadiz in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 44%, draw 28%, Cadiz 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sevilla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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