Rayo Vallecano vs Granada Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Granada — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Granada Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
2-2
HT 0-2
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
4-0
HT 3-0
Granada
İS1
0-2
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Granada
İS2
2-2
HT 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Granada — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano nicked a narrow win over Granada 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 31% of the ball to Granada's 69%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.47 to 1.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rayo Vallecano's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 0.67 for Granada.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Granada?
Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Granada in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Granada?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 52%, draw 26%, Granada 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.