Getafe 1-3 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 55%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.30
+54% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
Crosses 14.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.17 xG 1.49
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 424
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
19.12.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-3 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
04.02.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
15.08.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
12.02.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-3 HT 3-3 Getafe Getafe İS1
21.09.2021 Getafe Getafe 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-3
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.16 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
357 Passes 377
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid saw off Getafe 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Getafe had 49% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 51%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.16 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Getafe and 2.67 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?

Getafe 1-3 Atletico Madrid in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Getafe 29%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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