Real Betis 2-3 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

Real Betis
2-3 HT 2-1
Villarreal
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Betis vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.87
1/2 EV+ ✓
8%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.81
X/2
7%
6.87
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
14%
4.73
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.60/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.41
+19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
16.1 Crosses 14.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Betis vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Villarreal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
332 Passes 411
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
12.03.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
11.09.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
06.02.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
03.10.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
14.02.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 2-3 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-3
AWAY Villarreal
1.03 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
435 Passes 379
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal edged past Real Betis 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Real Betis had 54% of the ball to Villarreal's 46%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.03 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Betis and 1.17 for Villarreal.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Villarreal?

Real Betis 2-3 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 45%, draw 27%, Villarreal 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Betis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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