Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

Las Palmas
0-2 HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.02
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
8%
8.54
X/2
16%
4.0
X/X
15%
4.37
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.43
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Las Palmas v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.84/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.96
-17% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
15.1 Crosses 22.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.56 xG 1.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
387 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
09.02.2018 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
17.09.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
14.04.2017 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 5-1 HT 3-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
28.11.2016 Las Palmas Las Palmas 3-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
08.05.2016 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
0-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.25 xG 1.11
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
548 Passes 168
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao got the better of Las Palmas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Las Palmas had 71% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 29%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.25 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 1.17 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao?

Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 23%, draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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