Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

Real Madrid
4-0 HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.1
X/1
10%
3.53
X/2
6%
16.4
X/X
8%
7.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.45
2/2
6%
12.55
2/X
7%
20.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
2.16/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.73
+21% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
37.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.9 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.55 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
507 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
22.04.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
20.08.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-4 HT 1-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
02.04.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
12.09.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5-2 HT 1-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
20.03.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-3 HT 1-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
4-0
AWAY Celta Vigo
3.50 xG 0.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
586 Passes 306
92% Pass Accuracy 83%
46 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid swept aside Celta Vigo 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid had 63% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 37%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 3.50 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Real Madrid and 0.83 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 61%, draw 22%, Celta Vigo 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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