Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2024

Athletic Bilbao
2-0 HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.0
X/1
17%
3.58
X/2
6%
11.05
X/X
14%
4.39
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
8%
9.95
2/X
6%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.70/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.71
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
26.3 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.43 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İSPK
22.09.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
09.01.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
01.10.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.04.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
04.10.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.74 xG 1.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
473 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
42 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao beat Deportivo Alaves 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 41%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.74 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.17 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves?

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 51%, draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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