Mallorca 1-0 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
18%
3.82
X/2
8%
8.62
X/X
10%
3.83
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
10%
7.73
2/X
10%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.21/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.68
-4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.1 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Granada
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.41 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 225
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Granada Granada 3-2 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
07.05.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 2-6 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS1
19.12.2021 Granada Granada 4-1 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
16.07.2020 Mallorca Mallorca 1-2 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS1
05.01.2020 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
04.06.2019 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
1-0
AWAY Granada
1.60 xG 0.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
284 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca edged past Granada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mallorca had 51% of the ball to Granada's 49%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mallorca and 2.83 for Granada.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Granada?

Mallorca 1-0 Granada in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 50%, draw 27%, Granada 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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